For newbies just starting to engage with cryptocurrency investment, price fluctuations may seem chaotic, but market sentiment is often reflected in certain indicators in advance, among which the most noteworthy is the funding Interest Rate.
When market sentiment leans excessively towards bulls or bears, the funding interest rate will immediately manifest:
In other words, the funding interest rate not only tells you whether to go long or short, but also indicates whether market sentiment is becoming extreme. And extreme sentiment usually means the market is close to a potential reversal point.
Recently, after a period of intensive liquidation in the market, the overall leverage level has decreased, and traders have begun to become cautious, resulting in a general decline of the funding interest rate back to a neutral range.
This indicates:
For newbies, this stage is usually a good time for learning and observing rather than aggressive participation.
Step 1: Observe the value of the Interest Rate.
When the funding interest rate continues to rise to a significant positive value, it indicates that the bullish forces are crowded; when it is low or negative, it signifies that the bearish forces are dominant.
Step 2: Determine if the emotion is extreme.
If the sentiment in a certain direction is overly concentrated, such as “everyone is going long”, then it is likely approaching the end of the trend, and the risk of reversal increases.
Step 3: Adjust the position strategy accordingly.
When the interest rate is extremely high or low, one should cautiously reduce positions or observe; when the interest rate is stable and neutral, it is a reasonable time to test the market on a small scale and strictly set stop-loss.
In short, when the interest rate is high, it reduces impulsive participation, and when the interest rate is low, there is no rush to follow emotions; staying calm is the key.
Many newbies easily misunderstand the capital interest rate signals:
Misconception 1: A high interest rate on funds indicates that the market will continue to rise.
In fact, a high funding Intrerest Rate often indicates that bulls are too crowded, which may instead be a short-term top.
Misconception 2: A negative funding interest rate means the market will continue to decline.
Sometimes the funding interest rate being negative occurs precisely during the “rebound is about to come” phase, when too many shorts are squeezed, and a reverse fluctuation may appear at any time.
Therefore, when newbies use the funding interest rate, the focus is not on “following emotions”, but on identifying whether the emotions have become excessive.
The funding interest rate is a market sentiment tool that even a newbie can quickly grasp; it is not complicated, yet it can provide very valuable market signals.
Remember a core principle: when market sentiment becomes extreme, the probability of a trend reversal increases.
If you can understand the Interest Rate, you will be able to realize earlier than others that the wind is changing.
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